CHAPTER 4
THE
Significant in both the growth of Pentecostalism and of the Evangelical
church in
Assessing the impact of revival on the city requires
comparison between Spirit-filled church and the size of the city. What is the
size of the Christian community, which is the cradle of the charismatic Evangelical
and Pentecostal sectors of the church? Over four years I collated statistics on
the nature, and physical locations (photographing many and mapping them) of congregations
in greater
bringing the total to 350+ ethnic fellowships and congregations, as of 1998 (Fig. 5)).
5: Denominational Distribution of Congregations in
Fig. 5: The breakdown by denominational
grouping of congregations (some churches have multiple congregations) in
To examine commitment, I needed to consider two issues: the
committed core and among them, the second commitment to be cultural change agents.
Webster and Perry’s study (1989), showed a high correlation between weekly attendance
and a frequent sense of spiritual presence, concluding that weekly attendance
was the best indicator of “religiosity” or as others call it, “the committed
core”, “those who are practising believers, not simply adherents”. As
So how many Aucklanders attend church weekly? I became aware
as I developed the above database that the commonly used figure of 10% of New
Zealanders in church on Sunday was short of the reality in
I queried historian Peter Lineham, who sent me many of the
polls taken by various news media, and by a marketing study group at
·
Those who say they attend church weekly fall
consistently between 10 - 16% in
· Those who attend 2-3 times per month, plus those attending weekly (the committed core for the purposes of this study) fall consistently between 17% and 19% throughout this period.
· Those who attend at least monthly fall within a range of 20-24%.
Fig.6: Weekly Attendances by
Denomination
Fig. 6 shows some denominational trends,
based on yearly denominational figures for weekly attendance. The above show
both absolute numbers attending and percentage of
Fig 6d:
Actual participation is always lower than what polls
identify (Ward, 2000: note 3).
This formed a basis for the question,
that given the overall persistence of this wider Christian church, what is the
size of the whole group under study — the Evangelical/ Pentecostal movement
within
Unlike my analysis of numbers of congregations and ethnic
congregations, I could not work from primary data alone for all this, but also had
to make sense of the existing surveys mentioned above. I next compared them
with denominational studies of attendance, where they existed, and ferreted out
the figures for some that did not exist, in a process of triangulation to see if they
were indeed comparable. There were some indications (as shown in Fig. 6a and b) that figures for
My conclusion was that significant growth
in attendance had occurred in four areas of Evangelicalism. Firstly there have
been significant increases among evangelicals in the mainline
denominations. Evangelical Protestants
can conservatively be rated as 40% and increasing of Anglican and Presbyterian
denominations (or 60% and increasing of those who attend church regularly
weekly),[13] and 40%
of the Methodist bloc.[14] The evangelical
Salvation Army,
This clustering of evangelicals and Pentecostals is now
dramatically larger than the declining traditional liberal wing of the
Protestant church. Catholic decrease is less rapid but significant, with an
upturn in
So will these percentages increase or decrease? The expectation by mainline theologians and by secularist leaders is of decrease. The committed core of Christians has decreased from in the mid-20% ranges in the 19th century, with the maximum attendance 29.8% in 1894[18] to various estimates of between 10-15% attending weekly (and higher in Auckland (See Heylen poll, Richardson, 2004)). The anecdotal evidence, polls, and church attendance analysis that indicate overall gain up to 1996, is now being offset by post-revival plateauing and small decline. This was predicted by Hugh Dickie when he documented the rapid loss of children in Sunday Schools. In 1986, there were 200,000 children in mainline church Sunday Schools every week. By 1998, it was down to 19,000 (Dickie, 1997).
But what if revival synergies continue to reoccur? The ministry
of Whitefield at a time of great moral depravity in
We can interpret these dynamics by utilising four future streams of religiosity among New Zealand Christians, identified by Webster and Perry (1989:52) as possible categories, with the addition of a non-Christian religious category.
·
A
secular non-religious stream (expanding).
·
A
traditional religious stream relating to a personal God (1/3 of the population
with about half of this experiencing the presence of God, declining).
·
A
mystical stream, relating to a non-personal life-force (expanding).
·
A
reactionary sect stream[20]
(expanding), based on definite beliefs and convictions.
· Non-Christian religions among migrants (Hinduism, Jainism, Islam, etc., expanding).
For each of these streams there are both internal dynamics and external contextual factors affecting growth and decline.
Is the future secularist? While modernist liberal theology
among Presbyterians in
Crucial as the secularisation debate is,[22] clearly
the
Secularisation is usually considered a concommitant aspect to
a wider phenomenon, urbanisation. But the relationships are much more complex.
Hugh Jackson in his articles on church attendance 1860-1930, denies this
correlation (1987:64-5). The differences in church attendance within
These large theoretical constructs of urbanisation and secularisation
need to be broken down into constituent parts to make sense. For example, we
can examine just one aspect of urbanisation in the present urban context of
high mobility. Unless they are in an older suburban context, urban pastors must
replace about a fifth to a quarter of their flock each year just to maintain
their present size. Churches fixed in older structures and rituals generally cannot
cope with the speed and level of change needed. They tend to retrench into
older ways, particularly as congregations age. On the other hand Pentecost’s (c1979)
seminal research on receptivity to the gospel
Webster and Perry’s early analysis of the future of the
church, was of an ageing church: “This remnant is ageing and the congregation
diminishing” (1989:49). This is certainly true of the mainline denominations
analyzed by the Church Life Survey (Brookes & Curnow, 1998). For internal
denominational factors also effect the emptying of churches, regardless of the
receptivity of context. These include terminal illness of denominational
structures through traditionalism; theologies denying biblical authority;[24]
some training models of pastoral leadership based primarily on academics and
ignoring skills and spiritual gifting criteria; or failure to internally
structure for ethnic change in the community among others. Christian Schwartz
has identified eight quality characteristics and six biotic principles
affecting growth of churches (see Natural Church Growth analyses in Shwartz,
1996). Lack of some of these factors contribute to the slow decline of Catholic
Church attendance till 1996 (now reversed, at least in
But the overall reality is much different to Webster and
Perry’s and Brookes and Curnow’s “age and decline” opinions, so popular with
the journalists. Unfortunately, most Pentecostal, fundamentalist and ethnic
churches were not on the list of churches contacted for the Church Life Survey —
at least 50% of the
Kevin Ward (2004a:2-4) analysing the secularisation debate,
concludes there is both declining religious authority and privatisation of
religion, yet a persistence of religious faith, though a persistence whose
content is morphing,[26]
with declining involvement, yet sustained religiosity. This chapter supports
the persistence thesis and the morphing thesis. The indications are that until
1996, the charismatic revival prevented overall declining involvement, but that
with the waning of revival from around 1989, another phase of national decline is
probable (though with the expansion of ethnic churches in
We now examine this morphing phenomenon. Harvey Cox’s premise is that in the postmodern post-secular context, religions (whether Christianity, Hinduism, Islam, Buddhism) have all re-emerged in two forms, fundamentalism and experientialism. Both provide coherence where secularism has failed to provide a “culturally plausible response” (Cox, 1995:300-301).
Fundamentalism provides certainty in cultures that are increasingly incoherent mosaics of unconnected values, ideas and relationships (Ammerman, 1987: 192). It includes claims of absolute religious truth in the face of the societal disintegration inherent in secularism. On the negative side:
Fundamentalism
is not a retrieval of the religious tradition at all, but a distortion of it. The
fundamentalist voice speaks to us not of the wisdom of the past but of a
desperate attempt to fend off modernity by using modernity’s weapons (Cox, 1995:303).
In
The alternative experiential, storytelling, mystical style of religion requires less defined boundaries (i.e., works with centred sets rather than bounded sets). It can pull component truths from multiple sources, integrating and reintegrating them into new formulations. With their emphasis on the God who breaks in and on listening to the voice of that God, the charismatic movement and Pentecostalism place great emphasis on intuitive thinking. This leads to significant development of worship, music and creative arts. It also stimulates highly adaptive leadership styles — an essential element in modern urban church leadership (Hall, c1985).
Paralleling the cultural shift from rationalist anti-supernaturalism to informal supernaturalism, the religious shift appears to be from rational systematic theology and formal religion of the mainline churches to the informal supernatural religion of the charismatics and Pentecostals. Some term it a third reformation, focusing on the move from formal religion to the relational small group experience of much charismatic and Pentecostal Christianity (Neighbour, 1988; 1995). Significant differences appear in the underlying assumptions of these two movements however. Pentecostalism perceives an abrupt break with past Christian tradition. Charismatic Evangelicalism affirms the history of the church. The difference is highlighted by Smidt and leads to one of the dynamics of renewal.
Renewal
movements — that is movements that seek to make something old, new again —
generally seek to re-appropriate their particular roots and traditions. Consequently,
it would not be surprising if the Catholic renewal movement were to become more
‘Catholic’ than ‘ecumenical’ (Smidt, Kellstedt, Green, & Guth, 1999:125).
Charismatic
renewal seeking to renew, in many ways looks back. This ultimately diffuses its
strength as a movement. Pentecostalism, emphasizing discontinuity with the
past, can only look forward. It is not surprising, that 30 years after the
birthing of the charismatic renewal in
But there has been a levelling off of
this growth. Robin Gill, from 20 years
of analysis of church attendances in the
Our 'kingdom growth' typically runs at 8-10% - this is the number of people added to our churches each year through salvation/baptism etc. Since 1998 (when we first started recording it), it has ranged between 7.2% & 10.6%.
But the backdoor is also significant for these newer churches:
Overall,
we typically see 20-30% join/leave our churches each year. (In good years a greater percentage remain. In bad years those
joining and those leaving are about the same percentage).
Church growth expert Wagner, speaks of the necessity of new wineskins as an outgrowth of charismatic experientialism, viewing new apostolic-led mega-churches as the probable post-denominational future (1999). These relate more to each other than to their own denominations (often being as large as their denomination). His definition of apostolic-led is problematic,[28] but identifies the essential evangelising value of these churches. I have little doubt about their expansion as a reflection on the sociology of institutionalising religion, when I travel as a participant-observer from city to city. On the other hand, while such churches provide excellent structure, affirming and marketing revival as a significant theme, I suggest that this style of church violates many aspects of revival discussed in the following chapters. The centralising of human power and control, the emphasis on success and prosperity as against brokenness, confession and servanthood that mark revival, would indicate that their growth[29] is not necessarily a sign of ongoing revival, but of social change and at times of post-revival control structures.[30] Peter Wagner and the church growth school believe that such centralised growth is a sign of God’s blessing. German church growth expert, Christian Schwartz has combated this in the genesis of the natural church growth movement (1996).
7: Ethnic Congregation
Explosion in
Fig. 7: A breakdown of the number
of congregations in
Another
urban factor feeding into revival dynamics, follows the adage that the church
follows population flows (Hitchcock, 1996: 26). Thus, growth in ethnic churches
(see Fig. 7), will continue naturally, as the
ethnic communities grow across the city. These figures (Sept. 98) are rapidly
increasing. My estimate is of 500+ by 2005. The same figure from 20 years
before this one, would have shown only a score of ethnic churches.
This
represents the vigorous evangelical faith of most of these imported churches,
which are often people from missionary churches in anti-Christian societies. I
suspect analysis of numbers of churches vs. percentage of population that are
migrant in
We are also seeing non-structuralist groupings of Christians across the city, who reject formal church structures and doctrinal definitions but seek to maintain a vibrant faith (those who discuss this tend to be Pakeha).[32] Troelsch defined mysticism as one of his three categories of Christian structures that recur throughout history (1911/1960). Ward analyses debate that shows exit from formal religion is not the end of belief (2004a: 2-3). However, Webster indicates that such non-institutional belief evolves away from orthodoxy (2001: 168).
We do not know what percentage of committed Christians are non-institutional, nor how long they can sustain their commitments without the structure of a faith community. The nearest attempt has been Alan Jamieson’s A Churchless Faith, where he indicates that 27% of 108 Evangelical and Pentecostal church leavers that he interviewed, developed an “integrated faith” outside of the church (2000: 103). Thus, while in this study, I am exploring Christianity beyond the cloisters, I cannot analyse statistically the influence of this grouping as a source of agents for transformative change. I suspect it is significant, as this group are often thinkers who have risen to societal leadership and their “emergent church” structures indicate their entrepreneurial bent.
Theologically, I am working from the presuppositions, born of some years of establishing churches based on themes from the early church in Jerusalem, that connectedness to the body is essential to sustaining faith and that connectedness requires three structural elements: small group relationships, large group celebration and effective leadership that includes significant levels of each of the five leadership gifts of Ephesians 4:11,12. Unless those who move from institutions find new institutional patterns that include each of the above, my experience is that faith is generally not sustainable long-term, nor generationally (important for families). For the same conclusion from a sociological perspective, Steve Bruce in The Social Organization of Diffuse Beliefs and the Future of Cultic Religion (Bruce, 2004), extends his work on secularisation theory, to address cults and new age religion. I believe his arguments can be applied to the non-structured churches or anti-structured churches. He argues that the social significance of the New Age movement is inevitably limited by its inherent relativism, individualism, eclecticism and anti-authority ethos, leading to a lack of commitment and consensus necessary to transmit the religion inter-generationally. I am arguing that some of these latter elements – anti-authoritarianism, commitment and consensus beyond local groupings, and hence failure to transmit faith inter-generationally also lead to a limited lifespan for independent non-church groups.
The exceptions are where this search for a non-institutional spirituality has resulted in movements independent of church structures, yet with clear non-church structures with defined patterns authority, commitment, and inter-group linkages. There are precursors to these on the edges of historical revivals, such as the Salvation Army and an institutionalisation of this anti-structuralism in the Brethren movement. The Navigators, Renovare movement, YWAM, Youth for Christ and Spiritual Growth Ministries are all nondenominational movements bringing small group structures, accountable leadership and theological structure to their non-establishment modus operandi.
There are voices that this is the way of the future , including
discussions on emerging “Western” postmodern church structures (see http://www.opensourcetheology.net/) (Riddell, 1998; Ward, 2004a). The lack of attention to apostolic
leadership, the fivefold leadership gifts mix and necessities of structured
local leadership in the discussions within, for example, e~mergent
kiwi
::steve
I have discussed the extent, significance, commitment and
missional relevance of Evangelical, charismatic, ethnic and Pentecostal congregations
within the
But this study is not of church growth. It is a study of Evangelicalism, Pentecostalism and transformation. The second part of the question of significance needs to be the evaluation of the potential number and commitment levels of change agents in the public arena, towards the possibilities of developing a creative minority to catalyse major paradigm shifts within the culture. While deriving percentages of active churchgoers among Evangelicals and Pentecostals, one needs to remember, that those bold and gifted enough to stand in the public arena will be a minority of these, less than say 10% of more than 240,000 active churchgoers (in 2001) (Grigg, 2005). Thus, there is a national pool of manpower and woman-power of perhaps 24,000 who could become publicly active in societal transformation.
These people are already active in many spheres. For many
the local church consumes their energies. For others, the drumbeat of
evangelism that marks the movement requires a total commitment of time and
energy. As believers, they sustain a high commitment to family and to education.
Perhaps, we could justify half nationally (12,000) and a third of that in
What theologies will motivate and sustain these 4,000 into effective transformation and equip them theologically to utilize their technical and leadership skills? How can this prophetic nucleus be positioned to move the wider church into a transformative revival?
First, we need to examine the nature of the revival in the nation. Then we need to extend our understanding into transformative revival.
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[1]Including the Catholic church, but I am not qualified to comment on this. There is an interaction of ideas between Catholic charismatics and charismatic Protestants, potentially significant in areas of evangelism, unity and theological dialogue and collaboration on some areas of societal morality.
[2]Colin Brown (1985) indicates the birth of the renewal was among
Anglican clergy in 1965 and by 1974 for example, 40-50% of the clergy in
Auckland and people within a third of its parishes claimed to be ‘baptised in
the Spirit’ (Church of England of New Zealand, 1974). These were encouraged by
the appointment of leadership to the Anglican Renewal Ministries. There were at
that time, significant though lesser responses in Presbyterian and Baptist
denominations, limited impact among Methodists and rejection by Brethren. There
were also a significant number of charismatic groups within Catholicism. The
story of
[3]The most dramatic revival in
[4]Analysed in detail by Worsfold (1974). He documents the Catholic Apostolic Church (Irvingites, 1831 renewal in England) who were present in New Zealand in the latter half of last century, the Salvation Army emerging from the 2nd Great Awakening, the Keswick movement (1880’s - 1940’s), the intrusion of the fruits of the Welsh and Madagascar revivals (1904) and the major evolution of Pentecostalism from the Smith Wigglesworth crusades of 1922 and 1923 which spawned Apostolic, Elim and Assemblies of God denominations in New Zealand (The Times, 1922).
[5] A congregation is defined as a separate worshipping entity with
recognised leadership. Some churches like
[6] My AD2000 cities database or analysis of churches in the slums may be found integrated into each of these works.
[7] These are largely phone interview research, with samples above 500 and usually nearer 1000 people.
[8] Figures are included here simply to show that a thesis predicated
on the expansion and size of the Evangelical and Pentecostal movements is
valid. Calculations are based on the available studies (Signpost Communications,
1992; Webster & Perry, 1989, 1992; Withy, 1993), but indicate the need for
further accurate sociological research beyond the scope of this paper. My
figures may be compared among others with Lineham, 14.0% weekly, included
Catholic at 6.14% of population, 43% of nominal Catholics (1982);
(Correspondence from Peter Lineham, May, 2000). Alan Withy’s (1993:123)
summary, based on the 1991 census and church survey figures in 1993 showed an
11% weekly attendance (equivalent to 14.5% figure of those who seek to attend
regularly.
[9] Based on Baptist Yearbooks for these years.
[10] Based on yearly attendance figures collated by Pat Lythe, Catholic Pompalier Centre.
[11] Based on figures for total attendance derived from
[12]Personal correspondence,
[13]Conservative figures based on discussions with several church leaders.
[14]The final shape of the evangelical Methodist church and the relationships with Pacific Island Methodists as it forms from the Methodist conference, makes it difficult to give a more definitive figure.
[15] I am basing this on the census figures, with comparisons with known data from denominations where possible. Withy and Knowles working from the DAWN figures concluded that Pentecostal attendance was 122% of census figures in 1992 (Withy, 1993:123), and Fernandez and Hall concluded 83.5% in 1986 and 102% in 1991(Fernandez & Hall, 1987). Thus conservative use of the census figure, with adjustment for the change in the census question on religious affiliation in 2001, give these percentages.
[16] The derivation of these figures, based as they are both on some accurate data, and estimates of estimates, even after perhaps 40 iterations over 6 years, is better than previous information published, but too tentative for inclusion in a PhD. Some analysis and justification is available on the web (Grigg, 2005).
[17] Based on yearly attendance figures (excluding Easters, Christmases and major events) from Pat Lythe, Catholic Pompalier Centre.
[18] Calculations on census figures.
[19]According to Littell (1962),
[20] The term “sect” has continued to be used in sociology of religion and state church theologies, since Troelsch, to describe non-institutional (mainly evangelical) religious groups.
[21] Berger recants on his commitment to the secularisation thesis. Bruce then speaks of it as an unnecessary
recantation (2001). Both are dealing with the resurgence of evangelicalism and
fundamentalism in the West, of
[22] Bruce (2001: 90) argues that the tolerance and individualism at the heart of liberal ideology undermines the cohesion required for a shared belief system. Kevin Ward (2004a:3-5) summarizes the rise and fall of the secularisation debate, indicating the new sociological awareness of the persistence of religion and separating loss of belief from loss of belonging. However Norris and Inglehart do not come to the same conclusion as to the loss of membership in voluntary organisations (Norris & Inglehart, 2004: 183).
[23] Catholic theologian, Darragh, concludes that the underlying secularist theological project begun in the 1960’s will run its course within this generation (2004: 214). The difficulty is what becomes of the people left leaderless by loss of an integrated theological framework. Do these churches simply disappear, or is there transfer to newer denominations?
[24]
[25]The survey did not start with a comprehensive database but used
denominational churches’ databases. It also required significant payments by
the contributing churches. Consequently, the newer church plants and most
independent, ethnic and Pentecostal groups did not participate. In developing
the
[26] I utilise this term from computer graphics as it better portrays the continuity in the midst of change from an older web of belief to new contours of belief than the simple word “changing” does.
[27] Many leaders feel intuitively, that attendance for Evangelicals is growing but at
a less rapid rate as: (1) the charismatic renewal largely died (1989?); (2)
despite the new growth of some fundamentalist groups; (3) the fruit has largely
finished the 7?? year migration to Pentecostalism. (4) Liberal leadership
sustains control of much of Anglicanism, Methodism and Presbyterianism. (4) Pentecostalism
has recruited from younger generations and has largely bought into postmodern
styles. These do not necessarily provide long-term theologies that sustain
people through the ongoing crises of life. The exit door is large. There is
some discussion of plateauing in Pentecostalism, as a result, from around 2000,
based on census figures.
[28] See discussion on the apostolic in Chapter 10.
[29]There are a number of churches in
[30] An article on God’s
Millionaires, the BRW magazine (26 May, 2005) has given some critiques of
elements of this in the
[31] During the course of this thesis, one of my participant-observer roles involved the early formation of a migrant Indian fellowship. I decided to not focus the thesis on the multicultural dynamics but on broader transformational goals.
[32] I should include Maori Christian perhaps in this, where, before the
emergence of